Matches Played Adjusted Predicted League

Premier League

League Table

P W D L GF GA GD Pts Actual
38 26 6 5 70 26 +44 86 2 ▼1
38 26 6 6 82 37 +45 83 1 ▲1
38 20 8 10 73 42 +31 67 3
38 18 10 10 60 47 +13 63 4
38 17 8 13 67 58 +9 59 5
38 15 12 11 59 49 +10 56 6
38 15 11 12 60 53 +7 55 16 ▼9
38 15 9 13 52 51 +1 55 9 ▼1
38 14 10 13 57 54 +3 53 13 ▼4
38 13 12 13 48 47 +1 51 7 ▲3
38 12 12 14 43 47 -4 49 11
38 13 9 16 53 60 -7 49 8 ▲4
38 12 9 17 44 51 -7 45 15 ▼2
38 12 10 16 44 55 -11 45 14
38 11 11 16 41 51 -10 43 18 ▼3
38 10 10 18 38 55 -17 41 20 ▼4
38 10 9 19 41 64 -23 40 17
38 9 7 21 44 75 -31 36 12 ▲6
38 9 7 22 40 69 -29 35 19
38 7 11 20 32 59 -27 33 10 ▲10
Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation

How this table is built

This table takes a different approach from the standalone Predicted League: matches already played count for their real, actual result — the true points earned, not a model estimate. Only fixtures that genuinely haven't been played yet are projected, using the same underlying statistical model (team attack/defense strength calibrated against league averages, feeding a Poisson-based prediction).

Because of this, the table will converge toward — and exactly match — the real final standings as more of the season is actually played, reaching an exact match once every fixture has been completed. It updates live during matches: a currently in-progress score counts immediately using its current state, and the projection for what's left recalculates every time this page refreshes.